The grand tour is back in Spain as Stage 4 beckons from the beautiful Basque countryside. There are hills, descents, and a punchy finish that could make it a bit of a “general classification” finish.

Primoz Roglic could attack here, but so could the likes of Remco Evenepoel, Julian Alaphilippe, and a few others. The first stage in Spanish expects fireworks as we go from Vitoria-Gasteiz to Laguardia (94.8 miles).

Let us briefly summarize the fourth stage and who might win today as you prepare for your bets on cycling.

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Primoz Roglic A Slight Favorite

As we mentioned, stage previews are here for the critical stages. This opening stage in Spain qualifies as such. 

Temperatures could heat up quickly. It could be as high as 90 degrees for the riders as they approach Laguardia on Tuesday afternoon. That will not feel so pleasant after the Netherlands.

Because of Primoz Roglic’s nature of attacking at the first bits of opportunity, the Slovenian is a slight favorite to win Stage 4.

Is Primoz Roglic in top form? We may get a small hint after Stage 4. 

The Stage 4 Odds Table

Team DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM
Primoz Roglic +450 +480 +400
Remco Evenepoel +400 +700 +600
Julian Alaphilippe +500 +550 +550
Ethan Hayter +650 +600 +700
Sergio Higuita +1200 +1300 +1200
Joao Almeida +2200 +2500 +2500

The first thing asked about La Vuelta a Espana this year’s opening Basque stage was the following. Could a breakaway survive? That seems not likely. What is likely will be some sore legs.

Peacock will stream the stage live in the States, but the Olympic Channel will air replays. For additional coverage, check out GCN on YouTube. 

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What About Quick-Step Alpha Vinyl?

The team has two riders who could challenge for Stage 4. Remco Evenepoel, who has dominated a multitude of short classics this summer, and Julian Alaphilippe both figure to be riders who can take that last half mile and punch it to a stage win. This ascent is estimated to be around 10-10.2%. 

After a couple of climbs in the second third of the stage, the legs might not be able to take an acceleration from one of the top “general classification” riders. Both Alaphilippe and Evenepoel have shown that kick in the past. They could even work together to a point to distance Roglic. 

As much as Alaphilippe could pull this off, the team time trial showed that Evenepool had ridiculous legs. He was waiting for his teammates. That youthful showmanship may compel him to make a statement for Stage 4. At +700 on FanDuel Sportsbook, that is some value.

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Our Pick for La Vuelta 2022 Stage 4

The books like Roglic and the guys from Quick Step a bit much, but these three riders who best excel on these types of courses start flat, get punchy, then deliver one final shot. 

Joao Almeida at +2500 is intriguing, and even Jai Hindley at +8000. Our pick is Evenepoel at +700 for Tuesday’s Stage 4. Good luck!

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